Monday, October 16, 2006

Why Statistics Fail Road Safety!

As a safety field we have failed becuase of first our dependance on physcology and second statistics.

I have condemed the focuss on behavioural safety many times before and will leave it alone for a while but statistics are the blight on safety!

We have all the statisticians fabricating lies using statistics in regards to speed camera's, trying to show how they are working, yet we see the road toll and know they are not in the slightest working!

Why is this so? Well I will focuss on road statisitics to keep it short. Statisticians only include the data that they know will achieve a predetermined outcomes, usually set by the polititians themselves!

If statistics were to give us any insight, then we would have to include:
  • Road conditions, eg pot holes at the time of the accidents and then need to include the improvements following an incident to get a clear picture, not just say there's a speed camera there now and it saved lives. Pfffffttttttttt
  • The tree or pole you hit are random and can be any tree or pole anywhere on a stretch of road and for the statistitians to focuss on one 20 meter stretch of road where a speed camera is placed is ridiculous to say the least but the people are gullable and believe the lies.
  • Weather conditions are not taken into account! If we were to get a clear picture of a stretch of road then stats would have to be catagorised into weather and temperature conditions!
  • Weather conditions effect a vehicles safety! Yep tyres are very suseptable to temperature change for one.
  • Age of vehicle and weight are not included in statistics, so how can we get a clear picture.
  • Even the colour of a vehicle can have an impact on the stats.
  • maintenance of vehicles and peoples incomes that would show the lack of finances available to repair or maintain a vehicle are also factors that are not included.
  • The biggest factor I believe at the present time is fuel prices and when they drop the death rates climb and when they rise the death rates decline.
I could go on and on and on with all the variables that can effect the statistical analysis but I won't becuase it's clear the only pure statistics are the death and injury rates and the only improvement that can be shown is whether those numbers decrease! And guess what they don't so there is no improvement.

So statistics are useless they way the are compiled, you think they would go to university and actually study statistics so they could compile so quality, instead of the garbage that comes out now.

Regards
Daniel

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